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©2004
The Regents of the University of California
 

 
VOL. 25. NO.5 NOVEMBER 9, 2004
Photo by Chris Sutton
Leonard Kleinrock, who created the basic principles of packet switching, the technology underpinning the Internet, believes that the Internet still has many surprises in store in the years to come.

Innovators see exciting future for the Internet

BY AJAY SINGH
UCLA Today Staff

The Internet has come a long way since the first message was sent into cyberspace by a clunky computer at UCLA under the guidance of Professor Leonard Kleinrock on Oct. 29, 1969. Yet for all the amazing developments since then, the Internet is essentially in its Stone Age, said experts at a UCLA symposium last month marking the Internet’s 35th birthday.

“The Internet is everywhere, always on and always accessible,” said Kleinrock. But if it is to establish a truly global information infrastructure, he added, the Internet must also be capable of “nomadic and invisible computing.”

Those two characteristics, Kleinrock said, would define the Internet’s future. Nomadic computing refers to the ability to disconnect laptops at homes or offices and take them anywhere — deep into the Mojave Desert, for example — without losing any of the Internet’s services. Invisible computing is an even more futuristic application: “Cyberspace lies behind the screen,” explained Kleinrock. “We want to take it outside and deploy it in our physical world, possibly within our own bodies.”

All of that would eventually result in the “mass customizing of the environment,” said Kleinrock, offering an example: “If I walk into a room, the room will know I walked in because it will be a smart space.” The security implications of smart buildings that recognize humans are enormous. But so are privacy issues.

The Internet’s potential reach is so huge that it is expected one day to connect all humans on earth. “We’re about 3% to 4% there,” said Patrick Gelsinger, CEO of Intel Corporation, “and we’re just getting started.”

Wiring the entire planet will become possible because of the continuing validity of Moore’s Law, Gelsinger and several other speakers predicted, referring to Intel cofounder Gordon Moore’s 1965 observation that the computer power available on a single chip doubles every 18 to 24 months, helping create ever-smaller, cheaper and “smarter” electrical devices.

For now, the information revolution is progressing slowly but encouragingly. In India, many villages lack electricity, so innovative entrepreneurs provide satellite-linked community PCs mounted on tricycles powered by a simple pedal-driv-
en device, said Gelsinger.

Meanwhile, a fascinating trend toward seamless convergence of applications is taking place: Messaging, e-mail, Internet access, calendar, camera, music and much more are available over a single device.

“The smart phone is the best invention since the wheel,” said Henry Samueli, a UCLA professor of electrical engineering, chairman of Broadcom Corporation and the philanthropist for whom UCLA’s engineering school is named. But convergence also poses huge problems, Samueli cautioned, mainly in the areas of software and battery technology.

Another challenge is to make the Internet a widely accessible and efficient tool of education. “The trick is to use the Internet as much more than an instrument of pop culture,” said Alan Kay, an adjunct professor of computer science at UCLA.

As just about every nation embraces or acknowledges the Internet’s importance, there is an urgent need for some authority to regulate our expanding cyberworld, not least to combat the growing menace of spam and identity theft. “Many people think the United Nations ought to be in charge,” said Robert E. Kahn, chairman of the Corporation for National Research Initiatives, a not-for-profit organization.

Kahn predicted it would take the “better part of the century” to make the Internet indisputably ubiquitous and secure. But others were more sanguine. “Maybe we’ll get there by the 50th anniversary of the Internet,” said Samueli.